Future Majority · Intelligence

Map Tracker

Interactive shadow-primary map · Daily snapshots, history preserved
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How to use: pick a figure on the left to see everywhere they’ve traveled or acted (map pins) and the evidence behind their entry. Choose All figures for the national overview. Toggle Districts to overlay current congressional lines — click any district to zoom. Each day’s run adds a new day to the snapshot strip above — past days are kept, not overwritten.

Where 2028 activity is happening

DemocratRepublican
District lines: 119th Congress (seated Jan 2025 – Dec 2026) · U.S. Census Bureau cartographic boundary file cb_2025_us_cd119, released May 2026

Trend Notes

The GOP succession is now contested Increases uncertainty

What changed: In one week, two independent donor signals (Griffin; the broader RJC bloc via JTA) surfaced against VP Vance in favor of Rubio.

Over what period: July 8–16, 2026 — a tight, self-reinforcing cluster.

Evidence: A named on-record donor plus a sourced JTA report plus Vance’s own Rogan break with the administration.

Effect on likelihood: Converts a presumed coronation into a real two-person contest — raising Rubio’s standing meaningfully.

Sources: JTA · Axios (Griffin) · Axios (Rogan)

Democratic “invisible primary” moves from talk to infrastructure Pattern forming

What changed: Same-week concrete steps — Kelly’s $25M war chest, Newsom’s PAC-funded swing-state tour, Buttigieg’s early-state travel, Shapiro’s and Pritzker’s donor-network building.

Over what period: The July 13–17 window, clustering around Q2 FEC disclosures.

Evidence: FEC-based reporting, on-record travel, and PAC fundraising totals — not just speculation.

Effect on likelihood: Reinforces a top tier (Kelly, Buttigieg, Newsom, Harris) actively assembling machinery well before any launch.

Sources: NYT (Kelly) · Nevada Current (Newsom) · Iowa Capital Dispatch (Buttigieg) · Inquirer (Shapiro)